Bitcoin Faces Historic Year-End Red for 2025, Challenging Four-Year Cycle Theory
Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert
- Historic First Red Close: As of December 27, Bitcoin shows a -6.1% performance since the beginning of the year, and if this trend continues, it would mark the first post-halving year to close in the red, potentially shaking investor confidence and impacting market structure.
- Critical Technical Threshold: Bitcoin is currently trading below $88,000, significantly lower than the annual opening price of $93,500, and failing to break this critical level could further deteriorate market sentiment and affect future trading strategies.
- Pressure on Four-Year Cycle Model: Analysts warn that if Bitcoin closes in red, it would be the first time in 14 years for a third-year bull market to end negatively, potentially signaling a fundamental change in market structure and challenging long-term investment strategies.
- Increased Market Volatility: Despite attempts at a rebound, Bitcoin's price remains suppressed due to the expiration of $24 billion in options on December 27, preventing any substantial bullish movement and increasing the risk of a bearish year-end close.
About the author
Ohris M. Greyoon
Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.
