Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Could Drop to $40K in 2026
Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert
- Market Prediction: Analyst CryptoBullet forecasts that Bitcoin's bear market bottom in 2026 could range from $35,000 to $45,000, indicating a potential 33% drop, which suggests that investors should prepare for future price volatility.
- Historical Trends: Bitcoin has previously dipped below its Realized Price during bear markets, with declines of 66% in 2011 and 48% and 35% in 2015 and 2018 respectively, indicating a likelihood of a similar downward trend in the current market.
- Realized Price Changes: Currently, Bitcoin's Realized Price is around $56,000, but it is expected to gradually decline to between $53,000 and $54,000 by 2026, further suggesting increased pressure for market adjustments.
- Investor Preparedness: Although market conditions may vary, historical data indicates that Bitcoin typically falls below its Realized Price during bear markets, prompting traders to brace for a potential bottom in the $35,000 to $45,000 range to navigate possible market fluctuations.
About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon
Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.





