PBF Energy Inc (PBF) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
PBF Energy Inc (PBF) is set to release its earnings performance on 02/12 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 7.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of -0.15 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
PBF Transcript
The earnings call reflects strong confidence in operational execution, particularly with the Martinez refinery restart and substantial progress in cost-saving initiatives. Positive market conditions, such as widening crude differentials and lower RINs, are expected to improve capture rates. Despite some management vagueness on certain financial details, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by insurance proceeds and operational improvements. These factors suggest a positive stock price movement in the near term, likely in the range of 2% to 8%.
The earnings call summary and Q&A session reveal a positive sentiment. Strong cost-saving initiatives, beneficial light-heavy spreads, and ample liquidity indicate financial health. The Martinez refinery restart and insurance proceeds are promising, while the West Coast market dynamics and refinery closures in Europe present opportunities. Despite some unclear management responses, overall guidance is optimistic. These factors suggest a likely positive stock price movement, potentially in the 2% to 8% range.
The earnings call indicates several concerning factors: a significant net debt of $1.77 billion, operational challenges leading to a $258.8 million adjusted EBITDA loss, and supply chain issues impacting profitability. While there is some positive news such as insurance payments and asset sales, the overall financial health and market conditions are troubling. The Q&A section revealed uncertainties about repair costs and operational costs, further contributing to negative sentiment. Despite a slight EPS improvement and dividend maintenance, the negative aspects outweigh the positives, leading to a negative stock price prediction.
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: adjusted net and EBITDA losses, high net debt, and challenges in the renewable diesel market. Although cost savings and insurance proceeds are positive, the reduction in CapEx and unclear management responses on key issues like Martinez repairs and logistics asset sale raise concerns. The Q&A highlights uncertainties and market volatility, contributing to a negative sentiment. Given the absence of a market cap, the stock price is likely to react negatively, potentially falling between -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
PBF Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the PBF Energy Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
PBF Energy Inc (PBF) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onFeb 12, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for PBF Energy Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 7.00B in revenue and an EPS of 0.00 for PBF Energy Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for PBF Energy Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a forPBF Energy Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 12, 2026. PBF Energy Inc
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade PBF Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theFeb 12, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like PBF Energy Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
