Motorola Solutions Inc (MSI) FY2025Q1 Earning Prediction

05/01 04:00:00

After Hours

Motorola Solutions Inc (MSI) is set to release its FY2025Q1 earnings performance on 05/01 04:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 2.52B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 3.01 for the FY2025Q1. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

2.52B

2.53B

+0.42%

EPSBEAT

3.01

3.18

+5.65%

AI Summary

Attend Webcast

AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q1

Earnings Date: May 1, 2025

The earnings forecast suggests a neutral outcome, with balanced risks from acquisitions and macroeconomic factors.

Neutral

Last 0 quarters:

5 beats0 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

10%

+5-7%

Clear evidence of tariff cost absorption + international revenue rebound.

Beat

25%

+2-4%

Stronger-than-expected enterprise segment growth from new acquisitions.

Neutral

45%

Flat

Mixed results: Revenue meets, EPS misses due to margin pressure.

Miss

15%

-3-5%

Macro slowdown impacts demand (telecom/enterprise) + tariff costs.

Strong Miss

-7-10%

Guidance cut on weakening international trends + margin collapse.

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

In-line

Acquisitions (Theatro, RapidDeploy) likely boost enterprise/public safety sales, but macro headwinds (tariffs, telecom/enterprise demand moderation per JPMorgan) could offset growth. No explicit data on international revenue reversal.

EPS

Slight Miss

Tariffs and acquisition integration costs (three deals in 3 months) could pressure operating margins. Morgan Stanley notes tariffs "challenge margins, demand, or both."

Operating Margin

Decline

Rising costs from tariffs (Morgan Stanley) and M&A integration expenses likely outweigh efficiency gains from Theatro’s AI platform.

Cash Flow

Neutral

Acquisitions may strain short-term cash flow, but no data on operational improvements (e.g., collections, capex cuts).

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Justification: Mixed signals from acquisitions and macro/tariff risks create uncertainty in core metrics. Acquisitions (InVisit, Theatro, RapidDeploy) suggest revenue growth potential and operational synergies, but analyst warnings about macro slowdowns, tariff impacts on margins, and weakening demand in key verticals offset these positives. Limited revisions to consensus estimates (revenue + 0.018%, EPS + 0.035%) imply muted expectations, but no clear catalyst for a significant Beat/Miss.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Short-Term Options Play: Buy straddles (long ATM calls + puts) expiring post-earnings. Low implied volatility (stock flat YTD vs. S&P decline) and binary outcomes (acquisition upside vs. macro risk) favor volatility expansion.
Hedge for Downside: Sell May $430 calls to fund puts (bear put spread). Morgan Stanley’s $401 PT suggests ~6% downside if macro risks materialize.
Avoid Long Stock: Lack of clear catalysts and margin uncertainty limit upside; better opportunities post-earnings.

Rationale: Neutral stance reflects balanced risks. Acquisitions provide growth optionality, but tariffs and demand uncertainty dominate near-term sentiment.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

MSI Transcript

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) Presents at Barclays 23rd Annual Global Technology Conference Transcript

Neutral12-11

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral12-2

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive10-30

The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with increased revenue and EPS guidance, a significant acquisition, and promising growth in key segments like AI and defense. Despite some concerns about tariffs and unclear long-term impacts, the overall sentiment was positive, supported by strong order growth and strategic investments. The Q&A session reinforced confidence in future growth, with management addressing key concerns and emphasizing strong demand drivers and backlog. The company's strategic initiatives and product innovations are expected to drive stock price positively over the next two weeks.

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive8-7

The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and product launches that align with growth strategies. Positive guidance and expected growth in key areas like software, services, and unmanned systems contribute to a favorable outlook. The Q&A section supports this with optimistic insights on new products and market expansion. Despite some tariff impacts, the company expects margin improvement. Overall, the sentiment is positive, indicating potential stock price growth.

MSI Slides

Motorola Solutions Q2 2025 slides: revenue up 5%, raises full-year guidance

2025-08-07

Motorola Solutions Q3 2025 slides: revenue up 8%, raises full-year guidance

2025-10-30

MSI Report

Motorola Solutions, Inc. 10-K

10-K

2025-02-14

Motorola Solutions, Inc. 10-Q

10-Q

2024-11-07

Motorola Solutions, Inc. 10-Q

10-Q

2024-08-01

Motorola Solutions, Inc. 10-Q

10-Q

2024-05-02

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Motorola Solutions Inc FY2025Q1 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Motorola Solutions Inc (MSI) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q1 earnings report onMay 1, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Motorola Solutions Inc FY2025Q1 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 2.52B in revenue and an EPS of 3.01 for Motorola Solutions Inc's FY2025Q1.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Motorola Solutions Inc FY2025Q1 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Neutral forMotorola Solutions Inc's FY2025Q1 earnings, with a prediction date of May 1, 2025. Motorola Solutions Inc The earnings forecast suggests a neutral outcome, with balanced risks from acquisitions and macroeconomic factors.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade MSI Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theMay 1, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Motorola Solutions Inc FY2025Q1?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!