Apollo Global Management Inc (APO) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Apollo Global Management Inc (APO) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 02/09 06:30:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.19B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 2.04 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
Apollo is expected to deliver a strong beat on earnings, driven by substantial growth in fee and spread-related earnings and successful deal closures.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
Fact Data supports robust growth across Apollo’s core metrics:
- Fee-Related Earnings (FRE):
Apollo closed $ 3.5B financing for Valor Compute (NVIDIA GPU data centers) and $ 1.2B convertible preferred stock investment in QXO. These deals directly drive management fees and reflect strong capital deployment.
Atlas Air sale exploration ($12B+) and Prosper Group acquisition signal active asset management, supporting recurring fee growth.
- Spread-Related Earnings (SRE):
Origination volume surged with $54B financing for Paramount’s WBD acquisition and $3B metal container plant buyback, indicating strong demand for Apollo’s credit platforms.
Focus on investment-grade spread products (e.g., NVIDIA-backed leases) reduces risk while maintaining yield.
- AUM Growth:
Prosol Group acquisition (450 stores) and Invited’s potential IPO/sale ($3B+) expand Apollo’s diversified asset base.
Institutional trust evident via participation in the Bank of England’s private credit stress test, attracting inflows.
- Capital Formation:
- Saudi/Qatar sovereign wealth backing for Paramount’s bid and Apollo-led $ 1.2B QXO investment highlight global institutional confidence.
Market expectations appear muted (revenue/EPS estimates revised down slightly, stock flat vs. S&P 500 + 2.5%). Fact data suggests upside surprise on FRE/SRE from large deals and AUM growth.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
- Stock/Options: Buy shares or Feb 2026 $140 calls ahead of earnings.
- Pairs Trade: Long APO vs. short weaker credit managers (e.g., ARES, BX).
- Monitor Catalysts: Atlas Air sale closure, Valor Compute deployment.
Rationale: Fact data shows Apollo is outperforming peers in private credit origination and fee growth, while consensus revisions underestimate deal momentum.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
APO Transcript
The earnings call indicates robust financial performance with record AUM and strong inflows, alongside optimistic guidance in asset management and retirement services. The Q&A section highlights management's confidence in sustaining growth, despite some ambiguity in revising targets. The strategic plan and recent acquisition further bolster positive sentiment. Overall, the company's performance and outlook suggest a strong positive impact on the stock price.
APO Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Apollo Global Management Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Apollo Global Management Inc (APO) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onFeb 9, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Apollo Global Management Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 1.19B in revenue and an EPS of 2.04 for Apollo Global Management Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Apollo Global Management Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Strong Beat forApollo Global Management Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 9, 2026. Apollo Global Management Inc Apollo is expected to deliver a strong beat on earnings, driven by substantial growth in fee and spread-related earnings and successful deal closures.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade APO Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theFeb 9, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Apollo Global Management Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
