Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) is set to release its earnings performance on 02/17 05:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 725.00M and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.56 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
ALSN Transcript
The earnings call reveals significant challenges, including a 16% YoY revenue decline and decreased net income due to lower demand and acquisition expenses. While defense sales increased, the overall operating environment remains challenging, with subdued market activity and uncertainties impacting investment decisions. The Q&A section highlights concerns about on-highway sales declines, market weakness, and management's unclear responses on key issues. Despite some positive aspects like disciplined cost management, the overall sentiment is negative, likely leading to a stock price decrease in the short term.
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance, with an 8% increase in diluted EPS and improved operating cash flow. The acquisition expands the global footprint and opens opportunities for growth, despite some market softening. The guidance adjustment reflects near-term market realities, but the company remains well-positioned for future demand, with stable service parts business and strong shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. Positive tailwinds from pricing and cost pass-through agreements further support a positive outlook, leading to a likely stock price increase in the range of 2% to 8%.
While the company missed earnings expectations, they reported strong net income growth and increased dividends. The Q&A revealed robust North American demand and a focus on capital allocation, but also highlighted uncertainties in global parts sales and regulatory impacts. The stock repurchase program and dividend increase are positive, but geopolitical tensions and supply chain challenges pose risks. Overall, the mixed signals suggest a neutral outlook.
The earnings call reveals a positive sentiment with strong financial performance, including increased net income and EPS, alongside a substantial stock repurchase program and dividend increase. Despite a slight dip in net sales, the company shows resilience with improved gross profit and EBITDA margin. The Q&A highlights robust vocational demand and strategic capital allocation, although some uncertainties remain regarding regulations. Overall, the positive financial metrics, shareholder returns, and strategic positioning outweigh the concerns, suggesting a positive stock price reaction.
ALSN Slides
ALSN Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Allison Transmission Holdings Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onFeb 17, 2026, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 725.00M in revenue and an EPS of 2.00 for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a forAllison Transmission Holdings Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 17, 2026. Allison Transmission Holdings Inc
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade ALSN Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theFeb 17, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Allison Transmission Holdings Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
